Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Market context

This market covers the Upper Bracket final in Group A of the Super DraculaN Season 1 CS2 tournament, where Acend faces Sharks Esports in a Best-of-3 series scheduled for 25 June 2026. The match is set to begin at 16:15 UTC in the EU region, with a prize pool of $75,000 on offer.

Historically, a 0% crowd-implied probability for a team in a BO3 final is exceptionally rare and typically signals a complete mismatch in form or a known disqualification. In comparable B-Tier cases, such extreme odds only appear when one side has a significantly inferior ranking or has lost key players prior to the event. Here, Sharks Esports holds a clear advantage, ranked #37 globally compared to Acend’s #80, and Strafe users predict Sharks to win with 81.8% of votes, reinforcing the market’s bearish stance on Acend.

Traders should monitor official roster announcements and any in-match forfeiture clauses, as a single disqualification could shift the resolution to a 50-50 tie. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms this is the first head-to-head encounter between the two, meaning no prior tactical history exists to alter the line. With the settlement window ending 22:35 UTC on 25 June, any delay beyond seven days without a winner will also trigger the 50-50 outcome, making timing a critical dependency for this market.

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Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.